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Taking Greenland won't fix the US's problems in the Arctic, experts say

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Experts argue that acquiring Greenland won't solve the US's Arctic underinvestment, which includes neglected infrastructure and Alaska Native communities.

Taking Greenland won't fix the US's problems in the Arctic, experts say

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The Big Picture
The US has fallen behind Russia in the Arctic, but experts say taking Greenland won't fix that. The real issue is decades of underinvestment in existing Arctic territory and military infrastructure, such as abandoned bases in Alaska and a single operational heavy icebreaker. Climate change is exacerbating these problems, with thawing permafrost damaging aging facilities. While recent funding for icebreakers and Arctic security is a step forward, the gap remains wide. Additionally, the US already has extensive military access to Greenland under a 1951 agreement, so acquisition is unnecessary. Experts also highlight the neglect of Alaska Native communities, whose knowledge and partnership are vital for effective Arctic operations.
Why It Matters
The US's Arctic strategy is at a critical juncture as climate change opens new shipping routes and resource access, intensifying competition with Russia. Experts argue that acquiring Greenland would not address the root problem: decades of underinvestment in existing Arctic infrastructure and neglect of Alaska Native communities. Real security in the region depends on modernizing aging bases, expanding icebreaker fleets, and partnering with local populations, not on territorial expansion. This highlights a broader lesson for tech and policy: strategic advantage comes from sustainable investment in existing assets and human capital, not symbolic acquisitions.

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A map of Alaska with a dotted semi circle around the arctic region, overlapping with the top fourth of the state.
A map of Alaska with a dotted semi circle around the arctic region, overlapping with the top fourth of the state.
Alaska's northern coast falls within the Arctic Circle.

Marco Secci/Business Insider

  • The US has fallen behind Russia in the Arctic. Taking Greenland won't fix that, experts say.
  • The answer is investing in the Arctic territory and military infrastructure the US already has.
  • Experts say the US's Arctic operations also suffer from neglecting Alaska Native communities.

President Donald Trump's repeated calls to acquire Greenland, reiterated most recently at a NATO summit last month in Turkey, have thrust the Arctic into the global political spotlight.

The bigger challenge, they say, isn't acquiring more Arctic territory. It's that the US has spent decades underinvesting in the Arctic presence it already has.

"The notion that we would take Greenland and somehow improve it is a fallacy," Kenneth Rosen, a journalist and author of the book "Polar War," told Business Insider. "We have not done that in Alaska."

The challenge of securing the US's Arctic foothold has become more urgent as the Arctic itself changes. "The Arctic is no longer reliably frozen," Klaus Dodds, a professor of geopolitics at Royal Holloway, University of London, told Business Insider last year.

Satellite image of Earth centered on North Pole.
Satellite image of Earth centered on North Pole.
The Arctic is warming three and a half times faster than the rest of the planet, rapidly reshaping the Far North into a region that's more accessible and more strategically contested.

Planet Observer/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

As shrinking sea ice opens new shipping routes and access to energy and critical minerals, the region has become increasingly important to global security, Dodds said.

Russia began rebuilding its Arctic presence nearly two decades ago, reopening Cold War-era facilities and investing in year-round infrastructure.

The US has largely moved in the opposite direction

During World War II, the US built roughly 300 military installations across Alaska, many of which remained active throughout the Cold War. Many have since been abandoned or closed, leaving behind deteriorating runways, overgrown buildings, and empty airfields.

Today, the only active US military installations in the Aleutian Islands, a chain stretching southwest from mainland Alaska toward Russia, are Eareckson Air Station and a Coast Guard Marine Safety Unit at Dutch Harbor. Beyond that, the Coast Guard maintains a limited rotational presence with patrol cutters, sometimes with only one cutter at a time.

A composite of two satellite images labelled Eareckson Air Station. The left is a wide view of an island with a marker on the northwest coast, and the right is a closer view of a small building at that location surrounded by green cliffs.
A composite of two satellite images labelled Eareckson Air Station. The left is a wide view of an island with a marker on the northwest coast, and the right is a closer view of a small building at that location surrounded by green cliffs.
The radar at Eareckson Air Station is located on the northwest coast of Shemya Island, Alaska.

Google | Copernicus | Airbus

"One security cutter in the Bering Sea for all of Alaska is a joke," Rosen told Business Insider in February for an episode of its video series "View from Above."

Climate change is making those shortcomings harder to ignore. Thawing permafrost is destabilizing buildings and runways that were constructed on permanently frozen ground, putting additional strain on aging military infrastructure.

"We have not built out enough resources even to protect the communities that live in these areas of our country," Rosen added.

Last year, the Trump administration directed significant attention and funding toward Alaska, signing an executive order to accelerate energy and critical mineral development while backing a nearly $25 billion Coast Guard modernization package that includes funding for 17 new icebreakers, $4.3 billion for Polar Security Cutters, $3.5 billion for Arctic Security Cutters, and plans to base the first two new Arctic cutters in Alaska.

The Polar Star is seen at Garden Island in 2023 in Sydney, Australia.
The Polar Star is seen at Garden Island in 2023 in Sydney, Australia.
The Polar Star, the US's only heavy icebreaker, in 2023.

Jenny Evans/Getty Images

It's a step in the right direction toward regaining the US's Arctic foothold. However, the gap remains wide, Rosen said.

Russia operates 42 icebreakers, including 13 heavy vessels capable of year-round operations. The US, by comparison, is only beginning to expand infrastructure such as the deepwater port at Nome. Although the Coast Guard has begun growing its polar fleet, it still relies on a single operational heavy icebreaker, the Polar Star.

The US already has access to Greenland

While successive administrations have viewed the Arctic as strategically important, Trump has gone further by arguing that the US should acquire Greenland, citing concerns about Russian and Chinese activity.

However, the US already enjoys extensive military access to the island under a 1951 defense agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark.

"If we want to expand our military presence, we can do that," Rosen said. "Greenland already offers the US everything it needs for national security."

The question, he said, is why Washington has failed for decades to make greater use of those existing arrangements.

A composite of two images. The left is a satellite view of a terrain with rust-colored smudges. The right is a ground-level photo of hundreds of rust-colored fuel barrels across the ground.
A composite of two images. The left is a satellite view of a terrain with rust-colored smudges. The right is a ground-level photo of hundreds of rust-colored fuel barrels across the ground.
Rusting fuel barrels at the former Bluie East Two airfield in Greenland are visible from space.

Vantor | Getty

During World War II and the Cold War, the US operated about 20 military installations across the island. Today, only Pituffik Space Base remains, and the installation has long suffered from underinvestment, Rosen said.

Once home to roughly 10,000 people during the Cold War, the base now has a permanent population of about 650 as its mission has shifted toward missile warning and space surveillance.

For Rosen, the situation in Greenland reinforces rather than undermines his argument. If the US has not fully invested in the Arctic territory and military infrastructure it already controls, then acquiring more territory won't solve the underlying problem.

"It also fundamentally underscores the notion that Washington has given up on adaptive climate policies, favoring the potential gains from a warming planet," Rosen told Business Insider.

Dodds echoed the idea that focusing too narrowly on Greenland risks obscuring the broader strategic picture.

America's Arctic strategy has another blind spot

Shishmaref, a barrier island with a population of less than 600 Alaska native Inupiaq people covered in snow in harsh Arctic environment.
Shishmaref, a barrier island with a population of less than 600 Alaska native Inupiaq people covered in snow in harsh Arctic environment.
Shishmaref, a barrier island with a population of around 600 Alaska Native Inupiaq people located 30 miles south of the Arctic Circle.

HOSSEIN FATEMI/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images

Washington has also too often sidelined Indigenous communities that have lived in the Arctic for generations, Rosen said, despite their deep knowledge of operating in one of the world's harshest environments that could improve emergency response, logistics, and long-term operations.

"We need to communicate with these communities," he said. "There are so many fundamental things that are just absent in the Arctic when it comes to the US presence."

While auditing a war college course, Rosen recalled overhearing active-duty military personnel laugh when instructors urged them to improve their skiing skills for Arctic operations. Instead, they joked, they could just throw grenades at the snow instead.

"That's a totally negligent way of looking at the real strategic assets that come with operating in the Arctic," Rosen said.

Some Alaska Native communities proposed a simple solution to Rosen: Leave behind equipment such as generators and vehicles after military exercises so residents could use them between deployments while giving the military pre-positioned resources for future missions.

To Rosen, rebuilding America's Arctic presence requires more than ports, icebreakers, and military bases. It also means treating the people who already live there as partners rather than an afterthought.

"This idea that we need exert force without cooperation is wholly unsustainable," Rosen said.

Read the original article on Business Insider
Big Tech Policy Geopolitics Military Climate Change

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Taking Greenland won't fix the US's problems in the Arctic, experts say | TechCulture