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Business Insiderabout 2 hours ago
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Meta is 'throwing spaghetti at the wall' with its AI strategy, one analyst warns

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Meta's stock fell 10% as its AI spending outpaced revenue growth, with analysts comparing its strategy to 'throwing spaghetti at the wall.'

Meta is 'throwing spaghetti at the wall' with its AI strategy, one analyst warns

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The Big Picture
Meta's stock dropped 10% after reporting that capital expenditure growth far exceeded revenue growth, raising concerns about its AI strategy. The company still generates 98% of revenue from traditional ads, and much of its AI spending lacks clear financial returns. Analysts like EMARKETER's Minda Smiley view Meta's diverse rollouts—subscriptions, smart glasses, AI compute sales—as unfocused. Meta defends its investments, citing AI tools used by 9 million small businesses and a 60% increase in AI assistant interactions. CEO Mark Zuckerberg emphasized long-term potential, including more powerful AI models and personal AI agents, but Wall Street remains skeptical that ad revenue alone can justify the expenses.
Why It Matters
Meta's AI spending spree, which has wiped out most of its free cash flow, highlights a growing tension in big tech: massive AI investments are not yet translating into clear revenue streams. With 98% of revenue still from ads, Meta's scattershot AI rollouts risk alienating investors who expect a focused strategy. This could signal a broader reckoning for tech giants betting big on AI without a proven business model.

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Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg.
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg.
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg.

Bloomberg/Getty Images

  • Meta's stock is tumbling as its AI bets wipe out most of its free cash flow.
  • One analyst said its latest AI rollouts feel like "throwing spaghetti on the wall."
  • Meta says its AI investments are accelerating its core business, and there's much more to come.

Meta's AI strategy is, once again, worrying investors.

The social media giant's stock tumbled 10% on Wednesday after it disclosed that its capital expenditure growth far outpaced revenue growth.

Meta has a core problem: much of this spending doesn't yet have a financial return. About 98% of Meta's revenue still comes from its traditional ads business, according to its second-quarter results.

Meta has been trying lots of new things lately, like rolling out new subscriptions, smart glasses, and apps. It's also weighing selling AI compute to other companies. All these moves leave its actual AI strategy unclear, EMARKETER senior analyst Minda Smiley said.

"These continuous rollouts increasingly feel more like the company is throwing spaghetti at the wall instead of rallying around a sustainable way forward," she wrote in a note.

A Meta spokesperson told Business Insider that Meta's AI investments supercharge its business by helping teams build faster and customers advertise better. For example, 9 million small businesses use Meta's AI image-editing tools. Also, since adding its latest AI model, Muse Spark, the company has seen a 60% increase in the number of people interacting with its AI assistant each day, the spokesperson added.

On the earnings call, CEO Mark Zuckerberg also made the case that it's still early in Meta's AI journey. He said that Meta is working on significantly more powerful AI models that will drive future revenue growth, and touted Meta's most recent AI model releases, which performed well on industry rankings.

Zuckerberg predicted a future where billions of people use personal AI agents operating 24/7 to improve their personal lives and careers, although he said that Meta hasn't quite made that a reality yet.

Wall Street's patience is wearing thin. Thomas Monteiro, a senior analyst at Investing.com, said in a note that Meta's ads revenue — which is still growing at a healthy clip — won't make up for all the AI spending.

"The harder truth is that even strong ads are not enough considering the expenses outlook," he wrote.

It's still far too early to count Meta out. On the earnings call, Zuckerberg stressed that he didn't view Meta as just an ads business. He cited Meta's long history of building its own technology, from creating Facebook in his Harvard dorm room to building data centers now.

"We really are a full-stack technology company," he said.

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Meta is 'throwing spaghetti at the wall' with its AI strategy, one analyst warns | TechCulture